С сегодняшнего дня, уровни Акселя и торговый план. Публикуются по этому адресу.-- http://forexniksaj.blogspot.com/
четверг, 17 декабря 2009 г.
среда, 16 декабря 2009 г.
Уровни Акселя. Теханализ европейских валютных рынков.
By Francis Bray, CFTe MSTA
A DOW JONES NEWSWIRES COLUMN
LONDON (Dow Jones)--Rolling 24-hour chart levels:
Forex spot: EUR/USD USD/JPY GBP/USD USD/CHF
Spot 0612 GMT 1.4537 89.53 1.6244 1.0411
3 Day Trend Bearish Range Bearish Bullish
Weekly Trend Bearish Bearish Bearish Range
200 day ma 1.4355 92.95 1.6235 1.0591
3rd Resistance 1.4777 90.78 1.6380 1.0500
2nd Resistance 1.4666 90.11 1.6337 1.0453
1st Resistance 1.4572 89.95 1.6319 1.0430
Pivot* 1.4569 89.38 1.6265 1.0382
1st Support 1.4503 89.13 1.6207 1.0363
2nd Support 1.4480 88.78 1.6170 1.0345
3rd Support 1.4450 88.32 1.6115 1.0300
Intraday EUR/USD: The weak tone dominates the market following the break into fresh 10-11 week lows below 1.4586. Bears are testing the 1.4500 area, and back-up support lies at 1.4480 and in the 1.4450 area. Above 1.4572 would provide relief, although only regaining ground above 1.4666 would suggest a basing attempt is underway. Weekly chart EUR/USD trend: Bearish.
Intraday USD/JPY: Bulls extend the recovery off the Dec. 9 low at 87.36 following Tuesday's probe above 89.81. Above 89.95 is required to bring the focus back onto the key Dec. 4 high at 90.78, and threaten to leave the 2009 low at 84.82 as a significant long-term low. Dips will be regarded as corrective while above 88.78.
Weekly chart USD/JPY trend: Bearish.
Intraday GBP/USD: Remains trapped within a 5-day lateral consolidation pattern, consolidating last week's 1.6721/1.6170 decline. While the 1.6380 area caps corrective gains, bears will look to extend the dominant weak tone and renew pressure on the Dec. 9 reaction low at 1.6170. Below there would confirm a bear pennant/rectangle consolidation pattern and create room for further weakness towards projected support at 1.6115. However, given the strong underlying bear momentum, there is scope for the 1.6000 area. Above 1.6319 would provide relief, although only regaining ground above 1.6380 would lift the tone and open 1.6425.
Weekly chart GBP/USD trend: Bearish.
Intraday USD/CHF: Bulls have claimed the upper hand by forging a fresh 1-month high at 1.0430 Tuesday. While corrective dips are contained above 1.0363, room exists for renewed bull pressure on 1.0430, with the Oct. 1 descending triangle high at 1.0453 the key target. Solid support lies in the 1.0300 area.
Weekly chart USD/CHF trend: Range.
Forex spot: EUR/GBP EUR/JPY EUR/CHF AUD/USD
Spot 0635 GMT 0.8947 130.16 1.5135 0.9006
3 Day Trend Bearish Bearish Bullish Range
Weekly Trend Bullish Bearish Range Bullish
200 day ma 0.8854 133.30 1.5176 0.8434
3rd Resistance 0.9069 131.60 1.5204 0.9198
2nd Resistance 0.9044 131.01 1.5178 0.9173
1st Resistance 0.8992 130.74 1.5146 0.9091
Pivot* 0.8955 130.23 1.5125 0.9177
1st Support 0.8929 129.54 1.5117 0.8967
2nd Support 0.8903 129.36 1.5106 0.8949
3rd Support 0.8890 128.78 1.5096 0.8909
Intraday EUR/GBP: Bears take control of the near-term as they look to build on Tuesday's sharp break below 0.8982. Below 0.8929 would prompt further weakness towards 0.8903 and 0.8890, although only below there would expose the key Nov. 17 reaction low at 0.8835. Regaining ground above the 0.8982/0.8992 resistance area is required to question the bearish outlook, opening 0.9044. Weekly chart EUR/GBP trend: Bullish.
Intraday EUR/JPY: Has become directionless, but perhaps with a slight bearish bias due to last Friday's sharp rejection at the 131.60 high. Below Monday's low at 129.36 would put the Dec. 9 low at 128.78 under renewed bear pressure, and a clean break below there would create room for further weakness towards the Nov. 27 reaction low at 126.93. Above 130.74 is required to improve the near-term outlook and threaten a retest of the 131.60 high.
Weekly chart EUR/JPY trend: Bearish.
Intraday EUR/CHF: Bulls are in control after setting fresh 4-week highs above 1.5135, and closing above a 1-year bear trendline at 1.5104 on the weekly chart. Further strength is favoured towards the Nov. 19 spike high at 1.5146, and sustained gains above there would re-open the Oct. 30 spike high at 1.5178. Only below Tuesday's low at 1.5117 would question the bullish outlook and expose 1.5096.
Weekly chart EUR/CHF trend: Range.
Intraday AUD/USD: Bears have grasped near-term control to challenge the neckline of a 2-month head-and-shoulders top pattern, at 0.8977. A successful break below 0.8967 will expose the 0.8949 and 0.8909 lows, but with room for further weakness towards projected downside targets at 0.8867 and 0.8745. Regaining ground above 0.9091 is required to defer the bearish outlook.
Weekly chart AUD/USD trend: Bullish.
* The pivot is the sum of the high, low and close divided by 3.
For more technical analysis see: Dow Jones Newswires, N/DJTA; Bloomberg, NI DJTA; and Reuters key word search "INSI-DJN"
-By Francis Bray, Dow Jones Newswires; +44 207 842 9249; francis.bray@dowjones.com
Francis Bray is Dow Jones' chief technical analyst for Europe, and has worked as a technical analyst and trader for 20 years in London, Barcelona and Guernsey.
Data provided by CQG International Ltd.
(This article is general financial information, not personalized investment advice, as it does not consider the unique circumstances affecting an individual reader's decision to buy or sell a specific security or currency. Dow Jones does not warrant the accuracy, completeness or timeliness of the information in this article, and any errors will not be made the basis for any claim against Dow Jones. The author does not invest in the instruments or markets cited in this article.)
TALK BACK: We invite readers to send us comments on this or other financial news topics. Please email us at TalkBackEurope@dowjones.com. Readers should include their full names, work or home addresses and telephone numbers for verification purposes. We reserve the right to edit and publish your comments along with your name; we reserve the right not to publish reader comments.
Click here to go to Dow Jones NewsPlus, a web front page of today's most important business and market news, analysis and commentary: http://www.djnewsplus.com/access/al?rnd=Wj6IM%2FI4Pi3MWPyNeyF0mw%3D%3D. You can use this link on the day this article is published and the following day.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
December 16, 2009 02:23 ET (07:23 GMT)
вторник, 15 декабря 2009 г.
Уровни Акселя. Теханализ европейских валютных рынков.
By Francis Bray, CFTe MSTA
A DOW JONES NEWSWIRES COLUMN
LONDON (Dow Jones)--Rolling 24-hour chart levels: Forex spot: EUR/USD USD/JPY GBP/USD USD/CHF
Spot 0539 GMT 1.4638 88.90 1.6285 1.0335
3 Day Trend Bearish Range Range Bullish
Weekly Trend Bearish Bearish Bearish Range
200 day ma 1.4353 92.98 1.6235 1.0595
3rd Resistance 1.4865 89.81 1.6425 1.0400
2nd Resistance 1.4783 89.32 1.6380 1.0368
1st Resistance 1.4700 89.01 1.6337 1.0345
Pivot* 1.4648 88.75 1.6279 1.0323
1st Support 1.4617 88.32 1.6198 1.0296
2nd Support 1.4586 87.90 1.6170 1.0270
3rd Support 1.4480 87.72 1.6115 1.0235
Intraday EUR/USD: The weak tone dominates the market following last week's clean break of a 10-month bull support line. Consolidation off the 1.4586 low should be capped beneath recent congestion resistance in the 1.4777.0/1.4783 area, and in the meantime, risk exists for renewed bear pressure on the 1.4586 low. Below there would create scope for further weakness towards the 1.4480/1.4440 support area. Weekly chart EUR/USD trend: Bearish.
Intraday USD/JPY: Monday's inside day highlights the lack of direction in this market within the medium-term 84.82/90.78 range. The near-term bias appears to be skewed slightly towards the bull camp, and a break above 89.32 would back this view, re-opening the Dec. 11 reaction high at 89.81. Loss of Monday's low at 88.32 would put near-term bears in control and expose the higher low at 87.90.
Weekly chart USD/JPY trend: Bearish.
Intraday GBP/USD: Remains trapped within a 4-day lateral consolidation pattern, consolidating the recent 1.6721/1.6170 decline. While the 1.6380 area caps corrective gains, bears will look to extend the dominant weak tone and renew pressure on the Dec. 9 reaction low at 1.6170. Below there would confirm a bear pennant/rectangle consolidation pattern and create room for further weakness towards projected support at 1.6115. However, given the strong underlying bear momentum, there is scope for the 1.6000 area. Regaining ground above 1.6380 would provide temporary relief and open 1.6425.
Weekly chart GBP/USD trend: Bearish.
Intraday USD/CHF: Bulls have claimed the upper hand by forging a fresh 1-month high at 1.0368 last Friday. Consolidation is underway, but while dips are limited to Monday's low at 1.0296, room exists for renewed pressure on the 1.0368 high. A break through there would create room for 1.0400 and the Oct. 1 lower high at 1.0453. Below 1.0296 would extend corrective weakness towards the 1.0270 area, but dips should be limited while above the 1.0235 higher low.
Weekly chart USD/CHF trend: Range.
Forex spot: EUR/GBP EUR/JPY EUR/CHF AUD/USD
Spot 0615 GMT 0.8991 130.17 1.5130 0.9133
3 Day Trend Bearish Bearish Bullish Range
Weekly Trend Bullish Bearish Bearish Bullish
200 day ma 0.8853 133.33 1.5176 0.8427
3rd Resistance 0.9095 131.60 1.5178 0.9216
2nd Resistance 0.9069 131.01 1.5146 0.9198
1st Resistance 0.9044 130.68 1.5134 0.9173
Pivot* 0.9003 129.96 1.5122 0.9177
1st Support 0.8950 129.36 1.5114 0.9060
2nd Support 0.8934 128.78 1.5106 0.9017
3rd Support 0.8903 126.93 1.5096 0.8976
Intraday EUR/GBP: Weakens below last week's low at 0.8992 to put euro bears in control of the near-term direction. Confirmation of a lower high at 0.9095 promotes room for further weakness towards projected targets at 0.8950 and 0.8934, although weakness is not wholly convincing. Regaining ground above 0.9044 is required to question the bearish outlook and confirm a bear failure, while re-opening the 0.9095 lower high at the same time. Weekly chart EUR/GBP trend: Bullish.
Intraday EUR/JPY: Has become directionless, but perhaps with a slight bearish bias due to last Friday's sharp rejection at the 131.60 high. Below Monday's low at 129.36 would put the Dec. 9 low at 128.78 under renewed bear pressure, and a clean break below there would create room for further weakness towards the Nov. 27 reaction low at 126.93. Above 130.68 is required to improve the near-term outlook and threaten a retest of the 131.60 high.
Weekly chart EUR/JPY trend: Bearish.
Intraday EUR/CHF: The bulls are in control after setting a 3-week high at 1.5134 last Friday, and closing above a 1-year bear trendline at 1.5104 on the weekly chart. The 1.5134 high is back in focus, and a break through there would extend the recovery towards the Nov. 19 reaction high at 1.5146. Concerted strength would create potential for the late October spike high at 1.5178. Corrective dips should be contained above 1.5106, which protects the Dec. 9 higher low at 1.5096.
Weekly chart EUR/CHF trend: Bearish.
Intraday AUD/USD: Maintains an overall bearish near-term bias despite this recovery off the Dec. 9 low at 0.9017. While last Friday's high at 0.9198 caps, room exists for renewed bear pressure on 0.9017, threatening room for further weakness towards the neckline of an 8-week head-and-shoulders top, at 0.8976. Only above 0.9198 would question the bearish outlook and open 0.9293.
Weekly chart AUD/USD trend: Bullish.
* The pivot is the sum of the high, low and close divided by 3.
For more technical analysis see: Dow Jones Newswires, N/DJTA; Bloomberg, NI DJTA; and Reuters key word search "INSI-DJN"
-By Francis Bray, Dow Jones Newswires; +44 207 842 9249; francis.bray@dowjones.com
Francis Bray is Dow Jones' chief technical analyst for Europe, and has worked as a technical analyst and trader for 20 years in London, Barcelona and Guernsey.
Data provided by CQG International Ltd.
(This article is general financial information, not personalized investment advice, as it does not consider the unique circumstances affecting an individual reader's decision to buy or sell a specific security or currency. Dow Jones does not warrant the accuracy, completeness or timeliness of the information in this article, and any errors will not be made the basis for any claim against Dow Jones. The author does not invest in the instruments or markets cited in this article.)
TALK BACK: We invite readers to send us comments on this or other financial news topics. Please email us at TalkBackEurope@dowjones.com. Readers should include their full names, work or home addresses and telephone numbers for verification purposes. We reserve the right to edit and publish your comments along with your name; we reserve the right not to publish reader comments.
Click here to go to Dow Jones NewsPlus, a web front page of today's most important business and market news, analysis and commentary: http://www.djnewsplus.com/access/al?rnd=gHCIfZmwglmkdJuxz2PJUA%3D%3D. You can use this link on the day this article is published and the following day.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
December 15, 2009 02:12 ET (07:12 GMT)
понедельник, 14 декабря 2009 г.
Уровни Акселя. Теханализ европейских валютных рынков.
By Francis Bray, CFTe MSTA A DOW JONES NEWSWIRES COLUMNLONDON (Dow Jones)--Rolling 24-hour chart levels:
Forex spot: EUR/USD USD/JPY GBP/USD USD/CHF Spot 0603 GMT 1.4634 88.59 1.6321 1.0330 3 Day Trend Bearish Range Bearish Bullish Weekly Trend Bearish Bearish Bearish Range 200 day ma 1.4351 93.03 1.6234 1.0598 3rd Resistance 1.4865 90.78 1.6375 1.0453 2nd Resistance 1.4783 89.81 1.6337 1.0400 1st Resistance 1.4700 89.32 1.6270 1.0368 Pivot* 1.4659 89.03 1.6265 1.0315 1st Support 1.4586 88.39 1.6170 1.0302 2nd Support 1.4480 87.73 1.6115 1.0266 3rd Support 1.4440 87.36 1.6023 1.0235Intraday EUR/USD: The weak tone dominates the market following last week's clean break of a 10-month bull support line, and the break below 1.4665 brings the 1.4480/1.4440 support area into focus. Corrective gains should be capped beneath recent congestion resistance in the 1.4783/1.4777 area, and only a sustained break above there would lift the tone, opening 1.4865.
Weekly chart EUR/USD trend: Bearish.
Intraday USD/JPY: Weakness off Friday's high at 89.81 is testing important intraday support at 88.39. A clean break below there would create room for further weakness towards the 87.73 higher low, which will look to protect the Dec. 9 low at 87.36. However, keeping 88.39 intact, followed by a break above 89.32 would suggest a rejection of the 87.73 low, and open the 89.81 high. Aided by last week's close in the upper half of the weekly range, bulls may lay a claim to holding the upper hand, and a break through 89.81 would bring the focus back onto the Dec. 4 reaction high at 90.78.
Weekly chart USD/JPY trend: Bearish.
Intraday GBP/USD: Bears are looking to extend the weak tone an is putting pressure on the Dec. 9 reaction low at 1.6170. Below there would confirm a bear pennant termination high at 1.6337 and promote room for further weakness towards projected support at 1.6115, although given the strong underlying bear momentum, there is scope for the 1.6000 area. Regaining ground above 1.6270 would provide temporary relief, although corrective gains should be limited to the 1.6337/1.6375 resistance area.
Weekly chart GBP/USD trend: Bearish.
Intraday USD/CHF: Bulls have claimed the upper hand to force a break into fresh 1-month highs, and are set to forge further gains towards 1.0400 and the Oct. 1 lower high at 1.0453. Corrective dips should be contained above former range highs at 1.0302, with 1.0235 providing back-up.
Weekly chart USD/CHF trend: Bearish.
second table Forex spot: EUR/GBP EUR/JPY EUR/CHF AUD/USD Spot 0648 GMT 0.9009 129.63 1.5123 0.9063 3 Day Trend Bearish Bearish Bullish Range Weekly Trend Bullish Bearish Bearish Bullish 200 day ma 0.8852 133.36 1.5177 0.8420 3rd Resistance 0.9114 131.60 1.5178 0.9293 2nd Resistance 0.9095 131.01 1.5146 0.9216 1st Resistance 0.9069 130.68 1.5134 0.9198 Pivot* 0.9014 130.59 1.5123 0.9177 1st Support 0.8950 128.78 1.5116 0.9050 2nd Support 0.8934 126.93 1.5106 0.9017 3rd Support 0.8903 125.00 1.5096 0.8973Intraday EUR/GBP: Weakens below last week's low at 0.8992 to put euro bears in control of the near-term direction. Confirmation of a lower high at 0.9095 promotes room for further weakness towards projected targets at 0.8950 and 0.8934, although weakness is not wholly convincing. Regaining ground above 0.9069 is required to question the bearish outlook and re-open the 0.9095 lower high.
Weekly chart EUR/GBP trend: Bullish.
Intraday EUR/JPY: Friday's sharp rejection at the 131.60 high suggests the Dec. 9 low at 128.78 is to come under renewed bear pressure, and a clean break below there would create room for further weakness towards the Nov. 27 reaction low at 126.93. Above 130.68 would provide temporary relief, although only regaining ground above 131.60 would question the bearish outlook.
Weekly chart EUR/JPY trend: Bearish.
Intraday EUR/CHF: Bulls are in control after setting a 3-week high at 1.5134 Friday and closing above a 1-year bear trendline at 1.5104 on the weekly chart. Above 1.5134 would extend the recovery towards the Nov. 19 reaction high at 1.5146. Corrective dips should be contained above 1.5106, which protects the Dec. 9 higher low at 1.5096.
Weekly chart EUR/CHF trend: Bearish.
Intraday AUD/USD: Maintains an overall bearish bias despite this recovery off 0.9050. While Friday's high at 0.9198 caps, room exists for renewed bear pressure on the Dec. 9 low at 0.9017, threatening room for further weakness towards the neckline of an 8-week head-and-shoulders top, at 0.8973. Only above 0.9198 would question the bearish outlook and open 0.9293.
Weekly chart AUD/USD trend: Bullish.
* The pivot is the sum of the high, low and close divided by 3.
For more technical analysis see: Dow Jones Newswires, N/DJTA; Bloomberg, NI DJTA; and Reuters key word search "INSI-DJN"
-By Francis Bray, Dow Jones Newswires; +44 207 842 9249; francis.bray@dowjones.com
Francis Bray is Dow Jones' chief technical analyst for Europe, and has worked as a technical analyst and trader for 20 years in London, Barcelona and Guernsey.
Data provided by CQG International Ltd.
(This article is general financial information, not personalized investment advice, as it does not consider the unique circumstances affecting an individual reader's decision to buy or sell a specific security or currency. Dow Jones does not warrant the accuracy, completeness or timeliness of the information in this article, and any errors will not be made the basis for any claim against Dow Jones. The author does not invest in the instruments or markets cited in this article.)
TALK BACK: We invite readers to send us comments on this or other financial news topics. Please email us at TalkBackEurope@dowjones.com. Readers should include their full names, work or home addresses and telephone numbers for verification purposes. We reserve the right to edit and publish your comments along with your name; we reserve the right not to publish reader comments.
Click here to go to Dow Jones NewsPlus, a web front page of today's most important business and market news, analysis and commentary: http://www.djnewsplus.com/access/al?rnd=uvMZ4KKPq8PC68nFa%2B2Cgg%3D%3D. You can use this link on the day this article is published and the following day.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
December 14, 2009 03:04 ET (08:04 GMT)
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