Уровни Акселя.

By Axel Rudolph, MSTA
A DOW JONES NEWSWIRES COLUMN

LONDON (Dow Jones)--Rolling 24-hour chart levels:
Forex spot: EUR/USD USD/JPY GBP/USD USD/CHF

Spot 0700 GMT 1.4023 97.86 1.6382 1.0786
3 Day Trend Bullish Capped Bullish Capped
Weekly Trend Bullish Bouncing? Bullish Bearish
200 day ma 1.3352 96.70 1.5395 1.1395
3rd Resistance 1.4235 98.90 1.6580 1.0950
2nd Resistance 1.4168 98.44 1.6500 1.0908
1st Resistance 1.4080 98.20 1.6435 1.0836
Pivot* 1.4016 97.97 1.6388 1.0788
1st Support 1.4000 97.50 1.6350 1.0748
2nd Support 1.3945 97.24 1.6241 1.0712
3rd Support 1.3855 96.98 1.6104 1.0666

The following are forecasts for Thursday's trading session. They may, at times, be at odds with the three-day and weekly trends in the table above.
Intraday EUR/USD: The euro may well slide back towards the $1.40 support area Thursday morning, provided that $1.4080 minor resistance caps. Below $1.40 support is seen around $1.3945 and $1.3855, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the December-to-March decline.
Weekly chart EUR/USD trend: Bullish.
Intraday USD/JPY: The dollar is expected to stay above Y97.50, the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the March-to-April advance, and should rise back towards Monday's Y98.20 low and minor resistance Thursday. Above it resistance is seen at Y98.44, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Support below Y97.50 sits at Y97.24, the May 28 peak and around Y96.98.
Weekly chart USD/JPY trend: Bouncing?
Intraday GBP/USD: Sterling is expected to stay below $1.6435 minor resistance, the June 4 high, and should slide towards $1.6350 minor support. Below it support is seen around Wednesday's $1.6241 low point. Minor resistance above $1.6435 is at the $1.6500 area.
Weekly chart GBP/USD trend: Bullish.
Intraday USD/CHF: The dollar is expected to remain above CHF1.0748 minor support, that's Wednesday's intraday low, and should recover towards Monday's CHF1.0836 low. Above it resistance lurks around CHF1.0908, the June 5 peak. Minor support below CHF1.0748 is seen at CHF1.0712, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the December-to-March advance.
Weekly chart USD/CHF trend: Bearish.
Forex spot: EUR/GBP EUR/JPY EUR/CHF AUD/USD

Spot 0700 GMT 0.8558 137.20 1.5121 0.8099
3 Day Trend Bearish Bullish Capped? Bullish
Weekly Trend Bearish Bullish Range Bullish
200 day ma 0.8708 129.20 1.5194 0.7042
3rd Resistance 0.8625 139.26 1.5237 0.8229
2nd Resistance 0.8595 138.33 1.5198 0.8152
1st Resistance 0.8576 138.02 1.5150 0.8123
Pivot* 0.8556 137.35 1.5121 0.8079
1st Support 0.8521 137.12 1.5115 0.8015
2nd Support 0.8500 136.69 1.5075 0.7986
3rd Support 0.8482 135.70 1.5049 0.7935

Intraday EUR/GBP: The euro continues to slip and nears GBP0.8521 minor support, a drop through which will have the GBP0.85 psychological minor support level in focus. This corresponds to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the October-to-December uptrend as can be seen on the chart below. Minor resistance stands at GBP0.8576, last week's low, and GBP0.8595.
Weekly chart EUR/GBP trend: Bearish.
See chart at
http://www.dowjoneswebservices.com/chart/view/2225
Intraday EUR/JPY: The euro seems to be capped by Y138.02 minor resistance where the June 3 high was made. It now has Y137.12 minor support in sight. Below it sits Wednesday's Y136.69 low and Y135.70 minor support. Resistance above Y138.02 is seen around Wednesday's Y138.33 high.
Weekly chart EUR/JPY trend: Bullish.
Intraday EUR/CHF: The euro looks set to stay below CHF1.5150 minor resistance, Tuesday's low, and should revisit the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of March's advance at CHF1.5115. Below it support is seen around CHF1.5075, the May 29 low, and at the current CHF1.5049 June low. Minor resistance above CHF1.5150 comes in at CHF1.5194. Further up resistance is seen around CHF1.5237, the current June high, and CHF1.5272, the Apr. 9 peak.
Weekly chart EUR/CHF trend: Range.
Intraday AUD/USD: The Australian dollar is heading higher again and nears US$0.8123 minor resistance, that's Friday's high. Above it, resistance is seen around US$0.8152, the June 1 high. Minor support remains at US$0.8015 and at Monday's US$0.7986 high.
Weekly chart AUD/USD trend: Bullish.
* The pivot is the sum of the high, low and close divided by 3.
For more technical analysis see: Dow Jones Newswires, N/DJTA; Bloomberg, NI DJTA; and Reuters key word search "INSI-DJN"
-By Axel Rudolph, Dow Jones Newswires; +44 207 842 9249; axel.rudolph@dowjones.com
Axel Rudolph, vice president, Europe, at the International Federation of Technical Analysts and a vice president at the Society of Technical Analysts in the U.K., is Dow Jones' chief technical analyst for Europe. He was shortlisted in the best technical analyst and best equity & research strategy categories at The Technical Analyst awards 2009.
Data provided by CQG International Ltd.
(This article is general financial information, not personalized investment advice, as it does not consider the unique circumstances affecting an individual reader's decision to buy or sell a specific security or currency. Dow Jones does not warrant the accuracy, completeness or timeliness of the information in this article, and any errors will not be made the basis for any claim against Dow Jones. The author does not invest in the instruments or markets cited in this article.)
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(END) Dow Jones Newswires
June 11, 2009 03:10 ET (07:10 GMT)